Veterinary researchers often encounter biological phenomena characterized by non-linear or asymmetrical treatment-response relationships. These complexities arise due to various intrinsic and extrinsic factors, including evolutionary pressures, survival mechanisms, homeostatic regulation, and the fundamental biological constraints imposed by physiology and environmental interactions. Unlike engineered systems, where response variables may exhibit relatively predictable, symmetrical distributions, biological systems frequently demonstrate threshold effects, saturation points, and diminishing returns—patterns that challenge conventional statistical methods.
Traditional frequentist statistical approaches, such as linear regression, analysis of variance (ANOVA), and correlation-based techniques, rely on assumptions of normality, homoscedasticity (constant variance), and linearity. However, in biological contexts, these assumptions are often violated, leading to biased estimations, misinterpretations, and a lack of predictive robustness. For instance, many physiological and pharmacological responses adhere to sigmoidal or exponential relationships rather than linear ones, as dictated by receptor-ligand interactions, metabolic constraints, or allometric scaling laws. Similarly, survival data and disease progression models frequently exhibit skewed distributions due to selective pressures, stochastic variation in host-pathogen interactions, and individual differences in immune response dynamics.
Episode 89 of Learning Bayesian Statistics explores these challenges in depth, highlighting the advantages of Bayesian modeling for addressing the inherent complexity of biological data. Bayesian inference, unlike frequentist methods, provides a probabilistic framework that allows researchers to incorporate prior knowledge, accommodate non-standard distributions, and explicitly model uncertainty. By using hierarchical models, Bayesian approaches can capture multi-level dependencies often present in veterinary and ecological studies, such as animal group effects, genetic factors, and environmental influences. Additionally, Bayesian techniques naturally handle non-linear response curves by leveraging flexible distributional assumptions and computational methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling.
The discussion in the episode underscores the predictive superiority of Bayesian modeling when dealing with real-world veterinary datasets, where the biological plausibility of results is paramount. By moving beyond rigid statistical assumptions and embracing a probabilistic perspective, Bayesian methods empower researchers to derive more biologically meaningful insights, improve decision-making in clinical and experimental settings, and refine models to better reflect the stochastic nature of living systems.
Links from the show:
- Eric’s webpage: www.trexlerfitness.com
- Monthly Applications in Strength Sport (MASS) research review: https://massresearchreview.com/
- Eric on Twitter: https://twitter.com/EricTrexler
- Eric on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/trexlerfitness/
- Eric on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@erictrexler
- Eric on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/eric-trexler-19b8a9154/
- Eric’s research: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Eric-Trexler
- The Metabolic Adaptation Manual – Problems, Solutions, and Life After Weight Loss: https://www.strongerbyscience.com/metabolic-adaptation/
- MASS on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/massresearchreview/
- Burn – New Research Blows the Lid Off How We Really Burn Calories, Lose Weight, and Stay Healthy: https://www.amazon.com/Burn-Research-Really-Calories-Healthy/dp/0525541527
- Causal quartets – Different ways to attain the same average treatment effect: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/research/unpublished/causal_quartets.pdf
- How to Change – The Science of Getting from Where You Are to Where You Want to Be: https://www.amazon.com/How-Change-Science-Getting-Where/dp/059308375X/ref=tmm_hrd_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
- The Sweet Spot – The Pleasures of Suffering and the Search for Meaning: https://www.amazon.com/Sweet-Spot-Pleasures-Suffering-Meaning/dp/0062910566
- The Stoic Challenge – A Philosopher’s Guide to Becoming Tougher, Calmer, and More Resilient: https://www.amazon.com/Stoic-Challenge-Philosophers-Becoming-Resilient/dp/0393652491
- LBS #61 Why we still use non-Bayesian methods, with EJ Wagenmakers: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/61-why-we-still-use-non-bayesian-methods-ej-wagenmakers/
- LBS #35 The Past, Present & Future of BRMS, with Paul Bürkner: https://learnbayesstats.com/episode/35-past-present-future-brms-paul-burkner/